There's a lot of racing, and a lot of rain to account for. At the same time I've had a busy week, my mind's been elsewhere and I haven't done my usual preparation. I need to set a tighter budget than a normal Saturday. Let's say 40pts - let's see how close I get to that once I start chasing into the evening!
Montiridge looks rock solid - on just the sort of day when that's a silly thing to say. Just the sort of day for Tawhid to reverse tables for no earthly reason.
There you go. Autumnal weather, summer horses on the go a race too long, bookies benefits wherever you look. I pretty much never back Evens money horses. And certainly not today, as I explained above this morning. Oh...
Dart throwing at Kiama Bay, Scatter Dice, Poyle Thomas and Clowance Estate looks likely - combined they give me a decent edge on my prices, but then that says more about the state of my prices this morning.
Decent darts. 2nd and 4th. When I say this is as good as my betting got all day...
Going to oppose Lethal Force. I like both Garswood and Gordon Lord Byron at the prices. However, I also really like our Stewards Cup hero Rex Imperator at 14/1. My sort of bet - owes us nothing, undervalued up in class.
Lethal Force staying in gave us all the edge any half-decent gambler could ever ask for. And I had three good horses on-side, one ridden by the man who's been delivering for me all summer. Except for some reason I decided Gordon was a moron, when it was plainly me.
Like Kenhope. And Fiesolana. And Chigun. Not sure I'd want to bet any of them singly, nor dutch them at close to evens. Watching brief.
Watching brief would have been the call. I'd done my 40pts by now. Shut up shop. Potter round the greenhouse, do some chores, watch some tennis. But what is gambling if not the slings and arrows. And this race looked so uncompetitive. Here was a cast iron chance to get back in the game if brave enough. No time for procrastination. Man up. After all, there was a handful of horses with absolutely no chance of winning. The ones that finished 1,2,3...
Declaration of War has become a Persian Punch for me - he's lost every time I backed him and then won when I didn't. My prices reflect the market here. Will put Al Kazeem in the doubles and watch and wait.
Life, money the universe had ceased to matter. Al Kazeem wouldn't be winning, that was certain. Gosden horses weak in the market in Group Races is one of the surest paths to riches - and I share this secret system with you as punishment for deciding instead that Kingsbarns represented my best chance of redemption. Head dizzy with stupidity. How the gambling gods laughed. I feel guilty for the horse. I hope he's OK, and at least it gives perspective to my day. Stupid. Useless. Potless. Still standing.
Kiama Bay 11/1
Rex Imperator 14/1
Al Kazeem 9/4+
Oh god, deep breath, and I may even be underestimating, I stopped counting.
Out 70pts In 0pts.