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Saturday - Goodwood

3/8/2013

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I go into the last day treading water, just a few quid down, which isn't the worst position to be in when it comes to Goodwood. Not much on today. It would have been better if I had a full day, just put some bets on early doors and looked in afterwards. Will put my "do not dabble" head on. It's one of my least convincing faces.

Nassau
I feel inclined to take on Sky Lantern. It's very hard for a filly to take in so many Group 1 races in a row. Plus I think her price will be too short with a lot of people backing her, feeling they're owed one from the Falmouth. They're not. Integral will have to be some horse to step up here. Which leaves us with Just The Judge and Hot Snap at 7s. I'm much happier dutching those two at 3/1 than backing Sky Lantern at 2/1.    

Always annoying when you successfully take on the hot-pot but still lose. Market went in my favour. Hot Snap very well-backed, didn't travel at all until the last furlong.  

Stewards Cup
I have two ways into this race which have proven profitable over the years. Stick to horses that ran in the Wokingham and follow whatever Emily Weber tips.  So, with Ryan Moore on board and not forgetting I live there,  I should plainly be chucking it all on Shropshire!  Can't help feel he's stuck in the weights though, so will show at least a little prudence. On my prices I prefer Rex Imperator and Louis the Pious - who is worryingly weak on betfair. And at a huge price Macs Power is on a very good rating with William Buick booked. 

That's more like it! A nice 16/1 winner as the main bet, and a pocketful of losers dragging down the profit. My last race of the meeting and one that ensures a small profit - which I have to be happy with considering I didn't land a double all meeting (which is expensive!).


Out 45pts  In 67pts



 
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