Last Saturday's tip page looks pretty awful. Especially when you consider the other horses I backed, and their prices compared to SP:
Sun Central 1st 3/1
Aljamaheer 1st 3/1
Danchai 1st 16/1
Es Que Love 2nd 10/1
I'm So Glad 3rd 25/1
Niceofyoutotellme unplaced
Beaumonts Party unplaced
All I need to do now is put the right ones in the doubles!
Let's play the golf.
My approach is to save at least half my stake for in-running. There's nothing worse than having spunked all your ammunition halfway through Thursday. Plus I'd probably just chase my losses and top-up anyway.
However, there are two areas I think we should concentrate on early doors. Both offer the potential for "value". That said the concept of value is a dubious one when it comes to early prices on the golf. Say you think a golfer should be 50/1 and you can get him at 60/1. Even if your estimation is right you're still getting a very minimal edge about something very unlikely to happen.
On the other hand, the each way terms the bookies are falling over themselves to offer surely have some juice in them, if you can focus on the place element at least. So much so that Betfair is throwing inducements at me to play in their uncompetitive Top 5 and Top 10 markets.
The two for me at 7 places (and possibly 8 places), are Garcia at 33/1 and Fowler 50/1. Using Betfair as a marker, they are the same prices in the win market and trading at 7/1 and 10/1 in the Top 5 Place market.
The other angle is the trend for old-timers to go very close in Majors of late. Pick a few of the grand old-stagers, back them to a few quid each at 500/1+ win only on Betfair, and hope one of them hangs around long enough to be able to lay-out at single figures for a green book.
Sun Central 1st 3/1
Aljamaheer 1st 3/1
Danchai 1st 16/1
Es Que Love 2nd 10/1
I'm So Glad 3rd 25/1
Niceofyoutotellme unplaced
Beaumonts Party unplaced
All I need to do now is put the right ones in the doubles!
Let's play the golf.
My approach is to save at least half my stake for in-running. There's nothing worse than having spunked all your ammunition halfway through Thursday. Plus I'd probably just chase my losses and top-up anyway.
However, there are two areas I think we should concentrate on early doors. Both offer the potential for "value". That said the concept of value is a dubious one when it comes to early prices on the golf. Say you think a golfer should be 50/1 and you can get him at 60/1. Even if your estimation is right you're still getting a very minimal edge about something very unlikely to happen.
On the other hand, the each way terms the bookies are falling over themselves to offer surely have some juice in them, if you can focus on the place element at least. So much so that Betfair is throwing inducements at me to play in their uncompetitive Top 5 and Top 10 markets.
The two for me at 7 places (and possibly 8 places), are Garcia at 33/1 and Fowler 50/1. Using Betfair as a marker, they are the same prices in the win market and trading at 7/1 and 10/1 in the Top 5 Place market.
The other angle is the trend for old-timers to go very close in Majors of late. Pick a few of the grand old-stagers, back them to a few quid each at 500/1+ win only on Betfair, and hope one of them hangs around long enough to be able to lay-out at single figures for a green book.
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