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Saturday 28 February

28/2/2015

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A losing week so far. On Tuesday I was walking a gambling mate through the new methodology, chucking e-mails back and forth. E-mails the gambling gods must have been reading for my best laid plans immediately gan awry.

So, I'm sitting here with a reduced profit for the month, but a profit nonetheless,and I need to tiptoe through today to protect that. I'll be playing in the novices hurdle and hunters chase at Kelso, not a sentence I ever thought I'd write, but obviously I'll be keeping those to myself.

Which leaves a reduced stakes play on the two big chases to prevent itchy fingers.

3:25 Newbury
Seventh Sky 3pts ew at 12/1 and 2pts win Ballygarvey at 14/1

3:45 Doncaster
Samingarry 3pts ew at 12/1
and 1pt double the main bets.

Then I'll take my profit and say good job well done. But all the time I can feel the weight of March, Cheltenham looming, and the threat it poses to my new found discipline.


Discipline is a very important thing when  it comes to gambling, Leakage is the ruin of many excellent judges. In today's ultra-competitive betting markets the major bookmakers have realised that the over-round doesn't matter that much. That's not what kills punters. What kills them is greed, indiscipline, inconsistent staking, the need for action.    


So when I lost my discipline mid-afternoon and backed Glingerburn at no value I was not being wise, I was not being patient, I was not being strong. That's some horse though and he turned my day. When I chucked some of those winnings back turning my win bet on Balleygarvey into an each way one I was not being wise not at all. And when my fingers clicked on a small bet for old time's sake on Wayward Prince at 33/1 I was being particularly stupid and incontinent. 


Them's the cards. You can play them badly and win. Sometimes.   


6 Comments

Saturday 21 February

21/2/2015

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Just about ahead this week. Football bets let me down for once, and my first foray into seeing if my new-found National Hunt edge had a Flat application went badly.  Need to keep in control today.


Kempton 2:00
I'll back the small stable against the big stables, that's usually where the juice is. Save on Bivouac.
Beltor 9pts win at 3/1
Bivouac 3pts win at 5/2


Beltor mighty impressive. If you won on him I can't see why you wouldn't take the 12s for the Triumph. 




Kempton 3:45
Dart-throwing, and worried a couple of them will get outpaced.
Le Reve 4pts win 9/1
Tenor Nivernais 2pts ew 14/1
Ballinvarig 2pts ew 14/1
1pt total combined forecasts  and 1pt combined forecast the Tom George pair.


Le Reve game 2nd. The other two never got into it as I feared.




Newcastle 4:05
This would be close to my midweek betting, though more competitive than I've been aiming for. 
Need these two to bounce back but, to be honest, I did put Announcement in as favourite.
Announcement 9pts win 7/2
Faerie Reel 3pts win at 3/1    


Announcement travelled really well until getting squished two out. Faerie Reel saves the day. Decent enough profit and the third Saturday in a row safely negotiated! 

And chuck 1pt at an accumulator or two.
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Saturday 14 February

14/2/2015

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Another winning week at the likes of Kelso and Fontwell. Another Saturday spent trying not to give it back. 


I also gambled mid-week on buying some trousers on-line - 2 pairs for £20 - elasticated waist, fleece-lined, plainly designed for the discerning hipsters of Hoxton. But I had to take a bet on the waist-size - which rarely matches the one I actually own. They arrived this morning, all warm and snuggly, and with room for a discreet catheter when the time comes. I'm off to Shrewsbury to model my wares, though Anne says not with her, I'm not. 


So, already feeling like a winner, I won't bother you with Virak or Otagao Trail or Ballagh, who all satisfy my requirements for a mid-week bet - (I'm not sure it works in these better races).  Nor will I suggest you spread some love on dutching Broadway Buffalo, Lie Forrit and Gas-Line Boy, though I have. 


Instead I suggest you get over to Clifford James and get yourself some fleece-lined trews. It's the future...         
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Saturday 7 February

7/2/2015

3 Comments

 
Fully intending to miss Saturday's main races again, as part of my long-term plan, I found myself skipping through the card last night despite myself. And predictably that proved dangerous as some horses just jumped off the page. So...

2:25 Houblon Des Obeaux 8pts at 3/1 and Taquin Du Seuil 4pts at 9/2

Houblon's a mighty fine horse. Which make Coneygree really quite exciting.


3:00 Mr Mole 12pts at 10/3



I threw a few quid at Mr Mole to win the Champion Chase at 33/1 ahead of the race. Thought he should have been more like 12/1. Which he still is. If you won on him today, worth a top-up surely?


3:35 Jolly's Cracked It 5pts ew at 20/1 and Wicklow Brave 2pts win at 20/1  
 

Jolly's Cracked It ran on through beaten horses having seemingly struggled early on. Really like him for fast-paced handicaps. I cheered him home, assuming my each way paid out for 5th, only to find I'd done the bet with one of the only bookies paying out on 4 places. What a wanker.    


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    Notes every Saturday on that day's racing and how well or badly I've done the previous week. 

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